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Browse Observatory publications, risk tools, country analysis, data resources and policy-focused research.
Understanding the Forces Shaping North Africa and Europe’s Southern Frontier
A public strategic report on the forces shaping North Africa and the southern frontier of Europe. It sets out the strategic environment, the geography of power and how the region has changed.
Read the report →North Africa Connectivity and Strategic Corridors Assessment
The founding edition of the CRC Observatory Strategic Assessment Series. It assesses connectivity and strategic corridors across North Africa over an evidence period running from January 2025 to September 2026.
Read the report →Tunisia Outlook to Year End 2026
Strategic assessment of Tunisia's political, economic, social, climate and external risk environment from publication to 31 December 2026. Central judgement is managed stagnation rather than acute crisis, with confidence assessed at AMBER+.
Read the report →The Jewish Experience in North Africa Across Two Millennia
A historical, geopolitical, security and heritage assessment of Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia and Libya. Considers how the four states can preserve the legacy of their Jewish communities while building lawful, respectful and secure connections with descendants abroad.
Read the report →Edition 01. Women, the Sahel and North Africa: making the voice heard
Launch issue of the women focused platform of Carthage Risk Consulting. Examines Tunisia, Morocco, Algeria, Libya, Mauritania and Senegal, and the specific ways women contributors in each country can publish signed analysis and take part in regional discussion.
Read the report →Central Mediterranean Corridor Monitor
Scheduled corridor monitoring for Tunisia, Algeria and Libya, with Malta and Italy as context. Reporting period 23 July to 31 August 2026. Twelve forecasts, each carrying a point probability, a resolution date and a named resolution source, scored in the following issue and retained permanently in the ledger.
Request access →A six-country assessment of food and water security across North Africa and the Sahel, combining crop, price and stability indicators with an outlook to 2030.
A six-country measurement framework for workforce flows, retention and value creation, presented with an eight-map atlas and a controlled evidence table.
A public strategic report covering six Mediterranean countries with five comparative maps and a forward-looking scenario view through 2030.
Every Observatory publication is written and reviewed inside Carthage Risk Consulting. Country ratings, map details and forward-looking findings remain provisional until the master evidence table is populated and reviewed. Nothing is republished from third parties.
Observatory publications are open to any reader. No registration is required and no reader is asked to identify themselves. Carthage Watch is the exception. Its sections 10 and 11 form the subscriber decision layer, so the issue is listed here and released on request rather than published in full.
